League Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KAW
5 - 1
CER
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CER
1 - 4
VEG
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CER
1 - 0
NAG
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CER
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 4
CER
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 2
FCY
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KAA
2 - 1
GAM
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
GAM
2 - 3
KAR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OMI
2 - 2
GAM
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 2
VIS
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |