Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KAA
1 - 0
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
CER
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
VEG
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
OIT
1 - 2
CER
19%
22%
59%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 1
OMI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
NAG
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FCY
3 - 2
FCT
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KAA
2 - 4
FCT
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAG
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |