Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2001 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CER
2 - 1
SHI
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
JUB
3 - 2
CER
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
GAM
2 - 1
CER
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CER
0 - 0
KAA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2001 |
VIS
2 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOK
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 3
AVI
63%
21%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
AVI
2 - 3
JEF
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
URA
2 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |