Céres vs Queimados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
CER
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CER
0 - 3
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 2
CER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CER
0 - 1
TIG
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 0
CER
15%
17%
69%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Queimados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 0
BAR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
3 - 2
MAG
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 4
CEC
35%
23%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CGA
3 - 3
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 2
PFC
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |