Céres vs Belford Roxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+415%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
CER
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
BON
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CAA
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CMA
2 - 0
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CMA
18%
22%
61%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Belford Roxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAR
15%
19%
67%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
MAG
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 5
GOY
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAA
0 - 0
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |