Céres vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
CER
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
BON
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
CAA
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CMA
2 - 0
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
TIG
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAR
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
ADB
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 2
BAR
16%
19%
64%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |