United City vs Aguilas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CER
5 - 0
VOL
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
CER
48%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
CER
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CER
2 - 2
VOL
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CER
3 - 2
KAY
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aguilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DAF
2 - 2
STA
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DAF
0 - 2
KAY
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 3
DAF
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
IUF
2 - 4
DAF
30%
22%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DAF
2 - 0
IUF
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |