Cerdanyola FC vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
12º
17º
13º
33
4º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerdanyola FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CER
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CER
1 - 4
ATB
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ADA
2 - 0
CER
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 0
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 0
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAS
3 - 0
CDD
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 1
MEL
14%
23%
63%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +4 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 3
CDD
78%
16%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALC
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |