Cercle Brugge vs Sint-Truidense VV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
16º
10º
6
13º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 57 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 51 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 32 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 19 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
17% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
GNK
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 0
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 4
WIS
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 6
CER
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 1
CER
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sint-Truidense VV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
LEU
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KVK
1 - 1
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
UNI
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
6 - 1
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |