Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Cercle Brugge vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 0
CER
39%
25%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 0
CER
59%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CER
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CER
3 - 2
AEK
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
5 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 4
KIL
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
AYR
3 - 2
KIL
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 5
KIL
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |