Cercle Brugge vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
16º
10º
10
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 57 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 51 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 50 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 43 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 40 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 31 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
23% | 75% |
|
Next round
|
52.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CER
2 - 3
GNK
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 0
CER
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 4
WIS
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 6
CER
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 1
CER
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
KVM
53%
24%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
ANT
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 1
KVC
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |