Cercle Brugge vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
2 - 1
CER
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CER
3 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BRU
5 - 0
CER
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
CER
0 - 0
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CER
2 - 3
BER
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
GNK
38%
23%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 2
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
CER
0 - 0
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SDL
3 - 3
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |