Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot VA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
11º
13
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 0
CER
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
KVK
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CER
1 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 0
CER
39%
25%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
BEE
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
LEU
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BEE
3 - 1
OFI
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
BEE
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 1
BEE
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |