Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
CCD Cerceda vs Tenerife B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 1
CER
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CER
3 - 0
LAR
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ORD
0 - 1
CER
34%
28%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
CER
23%
26%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
NEG
69%
21%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 1
CER
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TEL
1 - 1
CDT
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 1
SDT
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RSI
3 - 2
CDT
12%
19%
70%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 0
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |