CCD Cerceda vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
VIV
1 - 2
CER
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
CER
1 - 2
DEP
34%
27%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 1
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CER
0 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LEM
0 - 4
CER
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUG
13%
23%
64%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 2
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 5
COX
17%
26%
57%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NAR
5 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |