CCD Cerceda vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
CER
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
CER
5 - 0
BER
81%
14%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
CER
22%
26%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 1
CER
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
BOI
53%
25%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 2
ARO
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 2
BOU
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
4 - 0
ARO
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |