Cerceda CF vs AD Colmenar Viejo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerceda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
VDO
1 - 1
CER
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
CCA
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CER
2 - 1
FOM
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AGR
1 - 1
CER
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Colmenar Viejo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CVB
0 - 4
ELE
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CVB
3 - 2
VDO
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CCA
4 - 1
CVB
91%
7%
3%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CVB
2 - 4
ADU
14%
19%
68%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FOM
2 - 0
CVB
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |