Ceramica AC vs Veranópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 0
ECA
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEL
3 - 0
CAC
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 2
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAC
59%
22%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VER
1 - 4
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 2
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VER
5 - 1
PEL
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
VER
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
YPI
2 - 3
VER
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |