Ceramica AC vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
NOV
20%
25%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAC
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MOG
0 - 0
CIA
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CIA
6 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
CIA
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
1 - 0
JMA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |