Olhodagüense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 0
CEO
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
CEO
1 - 0
MIG
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEO
0 - 1
CSE
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 1
CEO
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
CRB
27%
24%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
0 - 2
ASA
10%
18%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
3 - 1
CEO
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |