Olhodagüense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEO
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CEO
1 - 1
CDV
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CEO
0 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
2 - 2
CEO
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
CSA
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ASA
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |