Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
82%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 3
CES
88%
10%
3%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CBA
1 - 1
CES
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CES
0 - 4
PUE
9%
18%
74%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
SBA
2 - 0
CES
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
CAA
8%
18%
74%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 1
ITU
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
ALE
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 1
PUE
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 0
LAM
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
PUE
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |