Centro Español vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
SBA
2 - 0
CES
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
CAA
8%
18%
74%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
DPA
3 - 0
CES
82%
14%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
CES
84%
12%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CES
1 - 3
POR
11%
24%
65%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 1
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 0
PUE
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 0
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 1
PUE
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 2
CBA
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |