Centro Español vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
65.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
LUG
15%
25%
61%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
CES
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
ARR
24%
26%
50%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
VIC
26%
27%
47%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
76%
17%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
ALE
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 0
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
CLA
0 - 2
POR
29%
27%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
CBA
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |