Centro Español vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DPA
1 - 0
CES
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
CES
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CES
4 - 0
CBA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 3
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CBA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAA
3 - 0
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
CLA
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
JUU
53%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |