Centro Español vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
1º
25
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 2
CES
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
CES
91%
8%
1%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CES
2 - 1
JUU
57%
23%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 4
CES
26%
27%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
CES
1 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 2
MUÑ
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
SBA
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |