Centro Español vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 1
CES
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CES
3 - 1
CBA
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
YUP
0 - 2
CES
29%
26%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CES
2 - 0
MER
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 2
CES
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
DPA
1 - 1
LUG
24%
25%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 2
MUÑ
46%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 3
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
SBA
31%
27%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |