Centro Español vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
CES
1 - 0
SBA
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
CES
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CES
2 - 0
DPA
52%
24%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
JUU
1 - 1
CES
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
MUÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARR
2 - 1
LUG
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
24%
28%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
YUP
1 - 5
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
SBA
27%
27%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |