Centro Español vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
ARM
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
CES
40%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CES
0 - 0
PUE
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DPA
1 - 3
CES
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
CES
2 - 0
YUP
42%
27%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RPI
0 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUU
30%
29%
42%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |