CAF Champions Last 16
Global 0-7
Centre Chiefs vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centre Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
4 - 1
MOT
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
MAX
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
UFS
1 - 4
CEN
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAX
0 - 1
CEN
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 0
TPM
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TPM
3 - 0
VCL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 3
TPM
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
TPM
4 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
TPM
3 - 0
SLU
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |