Central SC vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POT
0 - 0
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
YPI
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 1
TIR
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
POT
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
TIR
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
YPI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |