Central SC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 2
CEN
71%
18%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 0
SPO
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |