Central SC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
PET
2 - 1
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 4
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
CEN
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CEN
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
CAB
83%
13%
5%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
66%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
ARA
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |