Central SC vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 1
CEN
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
CEN
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 2
SER
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
CEN
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
0 - 6
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 2
SER
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
0 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |