Central SC vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SPO
10%
17%
74%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SAL
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |