Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 1
CEN
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 0
MAG
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 0
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 2
NAU
7%
15%
78%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 1
AFO
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
27%
24%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
SAN
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
12%
23%
65%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |