Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
CEN
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 2
RFC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
JAC
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 0
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |