Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 1
CEN
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
CEN
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
SPO
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AVA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |