Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
POR
0 - 5
CEN
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 2
SPO
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 5
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |