Central SC vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 0
YPI
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 2
CEN
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PES
1 - 2
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
SER
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
PES
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
POR
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
35%
26%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |