Central SC vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 3
YPI
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 3
CEN
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
ALE
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |