Central SC vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
PET
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PET
3 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
PET
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |