Central SC vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 1
CEN
48%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
5 - 2
RIP
39%
27%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 1
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 1
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 73 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
PET
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PET
0 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
74%
|
29 | 75 | 46 | +1 |