Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
72.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
CEN
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
ACA
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
POR
63%
23%
15%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
ASA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
PPE
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |