Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEN
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
CEN
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 4
NAU
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
5 - 3
CHA
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |