Central SC vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AME
1 - 3
CEN
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FEC
1 - 0
PER
29%
23%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
FEC
70%
20%
10%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 0
ACA
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 1
FEC
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
FEC
2 - 1
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |