Central SC vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PES
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 4
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PES
2 - 1
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAU
9%
17%
74%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |