Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 4-4
Central SC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
TIR
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POT
0 - 0
CEN
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEN
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
SDJ
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |