Central SC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
JAC
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 0
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CEN
3 - 1
COR
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
JAC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAM
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |