Central SC vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
YPI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
AME
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |